Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud prediction and odds: Barcelona Open 2024

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud prediction and odds: Barcelona Open 2024
Photo by Icon Sport

It’s time for another showdown between two epic clay court players – Tsitsipas and Ruud. These two just faced off in Monte Carlo a week ago, and they are set to do battle again in Barcelona. That said, my tennis predictions today show you what markets to cover, so read on for full details. 

Our favourite Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud predictions

At the moment, I don’t think we could ask for two more exciting names to be involved in the final of a clay court event. Both Tsitsipas and Ruud are leading the pack on this surface, and we are in for another thriller in Barcelona. However, I’ve broken things down, looked at the facts and figures, and established the following predictions for this final:

Ruud to win @ 5/6 (1.83)

Although Casper Ruud recently lost to Tsitsipas in Monte Carlo, I think he has the Greek’s number today. I say this because Ruud hasn’t dropped a set all week, and his wins have been commanding. Additionally, he looks sharper and more confident than he did in Monte Carlo.

Ruud +1.5 games handicap @ 4/6 (1.67)

Given that I’ve taken Ruud for the win in my first prediction, it makes sense to back this up with a +1.5 games handicap. For this to win, Ruud can either win the match or run Tsitsipas close enough that he loses by a margin of 1.5 games or less. In my opinion, this has a very good chance of occurring.

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud odds

The probability of Casper Ruud taking out Tsitsipas today is 54.50%. As for the chance of the Greek making it two in a row against Ruud, this is 52.40% – based on the latest odds.

Monte Carlo rematch – who has the edge in Barcelona?

It’s 2-2 in the head-to-head department for Tsitsipas and Ruud, but how are things shaping up ahead of the 2024 Barcelona Open final?

Stefanos Tsitsipas preview

Tsitsipas has fought his heart out to reach the finals in Barcelona this week. He has pulled through back-to-back three-set battles in the quarters and semis, and now he faces a man who will push him all the way physically. This is a tough ask, but Tsitsipas will have a slight mental edge following his Monte Carlo title.

Casper Ruud preview

Ruud showed glimpses in Monte Carlo of why he is regarded as one of the best on clay. But this week, he seems to have raised his level, hence he hasn’t dropped a single set on his way to the championship match. Since his results have been straightforward, I feel he will be physically better than Tsitsipas today, which he needs to use to his advantage.

Tsitsipas vs Ruud head to head

These two have played one another 4 times professionally, and there’s nothing between them. The head to head records show a perfectly balanced 2-2 scoreline, and they each have one win over the other on outdoor clay.

Key match details

ICONSPORT 211331 0060
Photo by Icon Sport
  • Match Schedule – April 21st, 14:00 GMT
  • Venue – Barcelona, Spain
  • Viewing Options – Sky Sports, Tennis TV

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