Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Alex De Minaur prediction and odds: Italian Open 2024

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Alex De Minaur prediction and odds: Italian Open 2024
Photo by Icon Sport

The second week of the 2024 Italian Open has officially arrived, and the men’s draw is heating up. That said, one of the key fourth round matches is Tsitsipas vs De Minaur, and my tennis predictions today reveal which markets are best for this encounter. All of these details are discussed below.

Our favourite Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Alex De Minaur predictions

Tsitsipas might be the favourite to win this game, but De Minaur is always a plucky and irritating opponent for anyone. He makes a ton of balls and makes you work for every point, which is how he’s been able to beat the likes of Nadal and Auger-Aliassime on clay this season. But against Tsitsipas, he’s struggled massively with the Greek’s style of play, hence I think the following predictions are most suitable:

Tsitsipas to win 2-0 @ 19/20 (1.95)

The Greek has found his form again on the clay so far in 2024, winning Monte Carlo and making the final in Barcelona. Furthermore, he has put his disappointing loss in Madrid behind him it seems, as he’s produced two big wins against Struff and Norrie to reach round four. For me, this shows he will take out De Minaur in straight sets.

Tsitsipas -3.5 games handicap @ 17/20 (1.85)

De Minaur has had some good wins of late, but I question whether he can take out Stefanos Tsitsipas on clay – assuming the Greek brings his best tennis. The evidence is stacked against him, too, as Tsitsipas has won 10 of their 11 previous meetings. So if Tsitsipas grabs a break in each set, this market should be a winner.

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Alex De Minaur odds

With a 74.10% probability of victory, Tsitsipas is the red-hot favourite here. As for De Minaur, his chance of taking out Tsitsipas is just 33.33% – based on the most recent odds.

6th vs 9th seed in Rome – a battle of the big names coming up

I’ve given you my thoughts on what markets to cover for this game, but let’s look at a quick preview for both Tsitsipas and De Minaur now.

Stefanos Tsitsipas preview

Tsitsipas has found his confidence again during the 2024 clay court swing. After claiming his third Monte Carlo title in four years, he’s shown that he’s one of the best in the world on this surface. He’s shown this in Rome, too, with great wins against Jan-Lennard Struff and Cam Norrie to set up this match with De Minaur.

Alex De Minaur preview

The Aussie grinder has had some excellent results himself in 2024, beating Rafael Nadal and taking out the Madrid Open finalist in the last round, Auger-Aliassime. This shows he is a force to be reckoned with on clay, but the fact he has lost to Tstisipas 10 times is obviously a bit of a shocking statistic. Then again, he’s 11 in the world, and he did finally beat Tsitsipas in their last match.

Tsitsipas vs De Minaur head to head

Tsitsipas has De Minaur’s number it seems, as the Greek holds a 10-1 record against the relentless Aussie – with 2 of these 10 wins coming on clay.

Key match details

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Photo by Icon Sport
  • Match Schedule – May 15th, 10:00 GMT
  • Venue – Rome, Italy
  • Viewing Options – Sky Sports, Tennis TV

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