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A pair of battle-tested veterans will clash Sunday in the fourth round of the US Open when World No. 15 Pablo Carreno Busta and World No. 31 Karen Khachanov square off with a spot in the quarterfinals on the line.
Carreno Busta is enjoying a banner year and captured the Canadian Open title last month with a three-set thriller over World No. 10 Hubert Hurkacz. The Spaniard also reached the final of the Barcelona Open in April but fell to World No. 4 Carlos Alcaraz in straight sets. Carreno-Busta is also 9-1 over his last 10 matches on hard court.
Khachanov opened the 2022 season by reaching his sixth ATP singles final at the Adelaide International 1 tournament, where he lost to top seed Gaël Monfils. The Russian advanced to the third round of the Australian Open but lost in the first round at this year’s Cincinnati Masters.
Carreno Busta vs Khachanov Head to Head
Carreno Busta and Khachanov have faced off on nine different occasions with the 6-foot-6 Russian claiming five wins, including the last three meetings. Khachanov defeated the Spaniard, 6-4, 2-6, 6-1 at this year’s Italian Open and sports a 4-1 record against the 31-year-old on outdoor hard courts.
Carreno Busta vs Khachanov Prediction and Betting Tips
The Spaniard is peaking at the right time and has eliminated two top 50 players to reach the fourth round. However, Carreno Busta has struggled mightily against the hard-hitting Khachanov on hard surfaces and once lost a game at the Tokyo 2020 Olympics in under 80 seconds. To set the right bet for Pablo Carreno Busta vs Karen Khachanov, read about our predictions and betting tips for free:
Karen Khachanov to win
The 26-year-old Russian is primed to make his first quarterfinal appearance at Flushing Meadows after advancing to the fourth round for the first time. Carreno Busta has had no answers for the heat-seeking missiles coming off Khachanov’s racket in previous meetings and has lost in straight sets in their last four matches on outdoor hard-court surfaces.
Pablo Carreno Busta US Open Analysis
Carreno Busta is playing at a high level and knocked off 2020 US Open champion Dominic Thiem in the first round, 7-5, 6-1, 5-7, 6-3. The 12th-seeded Spaniard disposed of World No. 47 Alexander Bublik in four sets to advance to the third round and then toppled World No. 20 Alex de Minaur to book a ticket into the final 16.
The crafty veteran has used timely shots to make it to the final 16. The Spaniard won only 16 of 37 break points during his first three matches and has an ugly win percentage of 61% on his second serve over his last two matches.
Karen Khachanov US Open Analysis
The 27th-seeded Khachanov dropped the first set in the opening round to World No. 96 Denis Kudla before winning the next three sets in dominating fashion to move into the second round. A four-set victory against World No. 67 Thiago Monteiro set the stage for a third-round encounter opposite World No. 53 Jack Draper, who retired in the third set with an injury to propel Khachanov into his maiden fourth round at Flushing Meadows.
The power game of the Russian has racked up 47 aces over the first three rounds which does not bode well for Carreno Busta. Khachanov also has an impressive win percentage on the first serve and is averaging just three double faults per match.
Pick: Karen Khachanov wins in three sets.
FAQS about Pablo Carreno Busta vs Karen Khachanov
Match scheduled – 4th September at 16:00 BST
Type of tennis court – Hardcourt Outdoor
Bookmakers’ odds – Pablo Carreno Busta 4/9 (1.44) – Karen Khachanov 7/4 (2.40)