Ons Jabeur vs Sofia Kenin prediction and odds: Italian Open 2024

Ons Jabeur vs Sofia Kenin prediction and odds: Italian Open 2024
Photo by Icon Sport

The Italian Open 2024 is moving along nicely. And already, we’ve got some major players set to meet on the red clay in Rome. This time out, my tennis predictions today will cover Jabeur vs Kenin – an exciting match with some high-value markets to consider. Check out the full details below.

Our favourite Ons Jabeur vs Sofia Kenin predictions

Although Ons Jabeur is heavily favoured here, I’m not so convinced that she will breeze past the American. After all, Jabeur has struggled with both form and fitness in recent weeks, and Kenin has a match win under her belt in Rome already. Therefore, I’m shooting for the following markets for this match:

Kenin to win a set – yes @ 1/1 (2.00)

Not only did Sofia Kenin smoke her Italian opponent in round one, but she’s actually beaten Jabeur five times in the past. Most of these wins were a while ago, and the bulk of them were played on hard courts. However, I believe this will still give her enough confidence to take a set from the 8th seed.

Kenin +4.5 games handicap @ 10/11 (1.91)

Assuming Kenin is able to snatch a set from the higher-ranked Tunisian, I see no reason to avoid the +4.5 games handicap market. After all, taking just one set would put her in a commanding position to secure this margin, and I truly believe she can do it.

Ons Jabeur vs Sofia Kenin odds

The most recent odds for this match indicate that Jabeur has an 80% chance of victory compared to a 27% probability of victory for Kenin.

Kenin looking to find previous clay court form to challenge Jabeur in Rome

Moving away from predictions and tips now, let me provide a preview for these players ahead of this round two match.

Ons Jabeur preview

Jabeur is currently a top 10 player, which is why she is seeded at the Italian Open. And while she’s had great success on the clay in the past, she’s struggled in 2024 so far. In fact, she’s suffered surprising losses in several tournaments to get to this point, and I’m sure her confidence has been knocked because of this.

Sofia Kenin preview

Sofia Kenin is as competitive as it gets on the WTA Tour. Right now, she might be down at 58 in the rankings, but I wouldn’t let this number fool you. She can still play some serious tennis, and I feel it is only a matter of time before she scalps a big name like Jabeur that will put her right back in the mix.

Jabeur vs Kenin head to head

One of the more interesting details about this clash is that Kenin holds a 5-2 head to head record against Jabeur, despite Jabeur being the 8th seed here. The plus side for Jabeur is that most of these games were played in 2021 or earlier, and they’ve yet to meet on an outdoor clay court. 

Key match details

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Photo by Icon Sport
  • Match Schedule – May 10th, 10:00 GMT
  • Venue – Rome, Italy
  • Viewing Options – Sky Sports, Tennis TV

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