Matteo Arnaldi vs J.J. Wolf prediction and odds: China Open 2023

J.J. Wolf China Open

Ready for the start of the 2023 China Open? This first-round clash sees two qualifiers go up against one another for a spot in the last 16. Of course, it’s Matteo Arnaldi vs J.J. Wolf, and I’ve shared my tennis predictions today for this event within.

Our favourite Matteo Arnaldi vs J.J. Wolf predictions

This match consists of two guys who have already won two rounds at the China Open. Wolf qualified without dropping a set, while Arnaldi struggled in his first before winning comfortably in his second match to qualify. And with both guys being close in ranking, this is a tricky match to call. However, I’ve analyzed the form and playing styles to determine the best ATP China Open predictions for this game, as shared below:

Wolf to win @ 13/20 (1.65)

At the end of the day, no matter how close these guys are in level, one of them has to make it into the round of 16 at the China Open. And for me, that player will be J.J. Wolf. He has shown in qualifying that he is playing well once again, and since he took out the top seed in qualifying (Max Purcell), he will be confident going into this match.

Over 22.5 games @ 4/5 (1.80)

These guys are incredibly similar in ranking and form, which suggests that this will be a close encounter. Additionally, there is no history between these two that we can work with. Yet since they’ve both qualified and because there is very little difference in their level (assuming they both play well), I can see this match going over X games.

Matteo Arnaldi vs J.J. Wolf odds

Given the moneyline odds for these guys, the probability that Arnaldi wins is 46.50% and the chance that J.J. Wolf wins is 60.60%

The odds in this article were correct at the time of writing, and the odds are subject to change. We recommend checking with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Wolf to emerge victorious in the battle of the qualifiers

To give us a better idea of the likely outcome for this match, it helps to learn a few important details through a quick preview – as shown below.

Matteo Arnaldi preview

Arnaldi might have struggled in his opener, yet he looked back in form again when he took out Vukic in straight sets to qualify. Additionally, he is 48 in the world, and people forget that he recently took out a top player in the form of Cam Norrie at the US Open – in straight sets!

J.J. Wolf preview

J.J. Wolf has one of the biggest games on tour when he is firing on all cylinders. Yet this all-or-nothing game style doesn’t always work to his advantage. Nevertheless, he has looked solid in qualifying, especially when he beat the in-form Max Purcell comfortably to make the main draw. 

Arnaldi vs Wolf head to head

Despite the closeness in rankings between these two guys, they have never officially played one another on the ATP Tour. 

Key match details

Matteo Arnaldi China Open


  • Match Schedule – September 28th, 03:00 GMT
  • Venue – Beijing, China
  • Viewing Options – Amazon Prime

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