Matteo Arnaldi vs Aleksandar Vukic prediction and odds: China Open 2023

Matteo Arnaldi vs Aleksandar Vukic prediction and odds: China Open 2023

The qualifiers for the 2023 China Open are at their final stage, and here we have an interesting matchup involving Matteo Arnaldi vs Aleksandar Vukic. So who will win and reach the main draw? Better yet, what are my tennis predictions today for this match? Find out below.

Our favourite Matteo Arnaldi vs Aleksandar Vukic predictions

Given the strength of the China Open this year, it’s not surprising to see two guys ranked inside the top 50 doing battle in the last round of qualifying. On that note, Matteo Arnaldi is ranked marginally higher at 48 compared to 50 for Aleksandar Vukic. Yet with two guys so close in standard, what are the most valuable ATP China Open predictions for this specific match?

Vukic to win @ 17/20 (1.85)

It’s tough to see much daylight between these two players given their rankings. However, based on their performances in the first round of qualifying, for me, it’s clear that Aleksandar Vukic looks more comfortable at the China Open compared to Matteo Arnaldi. He won in straight sets while Arnaldi scraped through in a third-set breaker. 

Vukic to win 2-0 @ 2/1 (3.00)

If you track the odds for this match across most markets, the odds for each player are identical. But in the interest of finding the best value for your wagers, I believe that doubling down on a Vukic win and picking the Aussie to win in straight sets is a good call. After all, he beat Nakashima comfortably in his first match by a score of 6-4 6-4.

Matteo Arnaldi vs Aleksandar Vukic odds

Since Arnaldi and Vukic both have 17/20 odds to win this match, this indicates a probability of 54.10% for each player. This is unique, as the chance of victory is usually different for each player.

The odds in this article were correct at the time of writing, and the odds are subject to change. We recommend checking with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Vukic set to march into main draw at 2023 China Open

Before you back the markets listed above, let me share a preview for both guys.

Matteo Arnaldi preview

This 22-year-old is ranked at 48 in the world right now, but he didn’t look great against Galan in his opening round of qualifying. In fact, Galan was only in the qualifying draw as he got in as an ‘alternate’, and he is mainly a clay-court player. Therefore, I’d be surprised if Arnaldi was feeling confident going into this one.

Aleksandar Vukic preview

In my opinion, Aleksandar Vukic had the tougher first-round match in the qualifiers of the China Open. The 50th-ranked Aussie faced Nakashima, who is a much better hard-court player than Galan. However, Vukic beat Nakashima by a comfortable margin, and his game tends to suit the hard courts better than Arnaldi’s. 

Arnaldi vs Vukic head to head

Officially, these two guys have never played each other – not in an ATP-sanctioned event anyway. But interestingly, they have played each other in the 2023 season, it’s just not gone down on the official head-to-head record. Vukic was the winner of this match, yet the game went three sets.

Key match details

Matteo Arnaldi China Open

  • Match Schedule – September 27th, 04:15 GMT
  • Venue – Beijing, China
  • Viewing Options – Amazon Prime

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