Leylah Fernandez vs Anastasia Potapova prediction and odds: Madrid Open 2024

Leylah Fernandez vs Anastasia Potapova prediction and odds: Madrid Open 2024
Photo by Icon Sport

A few Madrid Open games have been played at this point, but now the seeds are entering the arena. As my tennis predictions today showcase, the 32nd seed, Fernandez, is going up against Potapova, in what should be a great match. Check out my tips for this one below.

Our favourite Leylah Fernandez vs Anastasia Potapova predictions

Leylah Fernandez is the higher ranked player here. And since she is seeded, she received a bye into round two. However, Potapova already played a match at the Madrid Open, so she should be sharp on the red clay. Furthermore, with Fernandez ranked 35 and Potapova ranked 39, this could be a very close game.

That’s where my predictions enter the picture:

Fernandez to win @ 10/11 (1.91)

Due to factors involving game styles and recent form, I’m going with Fernandez to win this match. At the same time, while it was a while ago, Fernandez still has the mental advantage of beating Potapova twice in the past. This could play a role in the possible outcome here, which is why I’ve picked Fernandez to win.

Fernandez -0.5 games handicap @ 17/20 (1.85)

Because I think that Fernandez will win, this market also seems appealing given the odds available. Of course, if Fernandez wins this market becomes a winner by default. But if she runs Potapova close enough, the market also has a shot of winning, which is why I’m going for this one as the perfect complement.

Leylah Fernandez vs Anastasia Potapova odds

Fernandez has a 52.40% chance of victory here, while the probability for Potapova is 54.50%.

32nd seed hoping to squeeze past Potapova in Madrid Open first match

Let me give you some extra information about these two players before I cover their head-to-head records in more detail.

Leylah Fernandez preview

Fernandez is a decent clay court player, and at 35 in the world, this shows she has been playing solid tennis over the last 6 months. It’s also pretty handy for Fernandez that she has beaten Potapova twice in the past – both wins coming in straight sets. So really, all of the signs point to a Fernandez victory in this match.

Anastasia Potapova preview

Potapova is ranked just below Fernandez at the moment. However, she lost to the young Canadian in both of their previous meetings. And she hasn’t had the best results on the clay in recent years. This shows that while she had a decent win in round one of the Madrid Open, clay really isn’t her best surface, and Fernandez has the kind of game that will cause her problems.

Fernandez vs Potapova head to head

The head to head between these two is 2-0 to Leylah Fernandez. However, they haven’t played since 2021, which was a match at Roland Garros – a game that Fernandez won in straight sets. Then again, that’s a long time ago.

Key match details

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Photo by Icon Sport
  • Match Schedule – April 25th, 18:15 GMT
  • Venue – Madrid, Spain
  • Viewing Options – Sky Sports, Tennis TV

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