Nick Kyrgios Australian Open 2023: Odds, next match and predictions

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Kyrgios Australian Open 2023 Odds

Introducing the ‘bad boy’ of Australian tennis, Nick Kyrgios. This man has all the talent in the world, yet from time to time, his emotions get the better of him. Of course, this sets the stage for some rather entertaining matches, which is always a factor when watching Kyrgios. However, last year it seemed that things were starting to come together for Kyrgios.

He made his first slam final and started to get his mind right on the court. Because of last year, he has the following odds of winning the Australian Open this year:

Amazingly, Nick Kyrgios is the 4th favourite to win the Australian Open 2023. This means that he is ahead of guys like Tsitsipas, Auger-Aliassime, Ruud, and many others. He’s only just behind Rafael Nadal too, which is fairly staggering. With that said, Kyrgios has struggled on home soil in the past. So he needs to step it up if he is to have a chance this year.

Upcoming match vs Safiullin – Kyrgios Australian Open 2023

Kyrgios has been drawn to play against Roman Safiullin of Russia in his first round. The Russian is currently ranked just inside the top 100 in the world – 98, to be exact. And since these two guys have never played before, we don’t have any head-to-head details to work with here. So really, we are relying on the rankings and recent form to produce a prediction.

On that note, since Nick Kyrgios is ranked 21 in the world, not to mention his hard-court skills, he should take the win in this one.

Kyrgios Current Form – Recent Matches in Detail

This might not come as a surprise to many, but Nick Kyrgios hasn’t competed since 2022. In fact, he hasn’t played competitively since the beginning of October 2022, around three months ago. So it’s important to keep in mind that his last five matches were played quite some time ago. And you can see those results below:

  • Kyrgios vs Fritz – lost – walkover
  • Kyrgios vs Majchrzak – won – 3-6, 6-2, 6-2
  • Kyrgios vs Tseng – won – 6-3, 6-1
  • Kyrgios vs Khachanov – lost – 5-7, 6-4, 5-7, 7-6, 4-6
  • Kyrgios vs Medvedev – won – 7-6, 3-6, 6-3, 6-2

The first three matches on this list were played in Tokyo in October 2022. This was an ATP 500 event where Kyrgios was forced to withdraw before his quarter-final match with Taylor Fritz. Prior to that, Nick Kyrgios was playing in the US Open, where he ultimately lost to Khachanov in the quarter-finals in a five-set thriller.

At the same time, he also beat Daniil Medvedev in that tournament, which was huge.

Kyrgios Injury update: A worry but not ‘tournament ending’

As you may recall, Nick Kyrgios didn’t participate in the 2023 United Cup due to an ankle injury. This was a fresh injury that Kyrgios had picked up between October 2022 and the planned start of the United Cup in December 2022. The injury also forced Kyrgios to withdraw from the Adelaide International event last week, which was concerning for many fans.

Since then, however, Kyrgios’ manager has spoken out by informing the media that Kyrgios will certainly be fit to play in the Australian Open. He stated that the withdrawal was purely a precaution based on the advice of his physio. Therefore, we shouldn’t be overly concerned about the ankle injury.

Nick Kyrgios Australian Open Results in the Past

Kyrgios first competed in the Australian Open more than a decade ago. He played in the qualifiers in both 2012 and 2013, but he lost in the first qualifying round in both events. However, he did make the main draw in 2014, posting his first main draw victory before losing in the 2nd round. This was also the year when he managed to take down Nadal at Wimbledon while he was still just a teenager.

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Such a win obviously gave Kyrgios the confidence to believe that he can achieve big things in the tennis world. We say that because the following year is when he produced his best result at the Australian Open. In 2015, he made the quarter-finals for the one and only time in his career. Since then, his best performances have been in the 4th round, which he managed to do in 2018 and 2020.

However, he still has a 17-9 win/loss record at the Australian Open, which equates to a 65% win rate. So he obviously enjoys playing in this event – it’s just that he struggles to string big wins together it seems. But this could all change in 2023 as Nick Kyrgios looks like he is handling the expectations much better than before.

Kyrgios Australian Open 2023 Prediction – possible dark horse to win

We know, this may seem amazingly optimistic, which it is. However, Kyrgios undoubtedly has the game to go all the way at the Australian Open. That’s precisely why the bookies have him down as the fourth favourite! But when you look at the draw, he is facing a tough section of players. Assuming he makes it through his first two rounds, he could face Holger Rune (9th seed). Bear in mind that Rune won the most recent Paris Masters event by beating Djokovic in the final.

And if he was to beat Rune, he would then face the 5th seed in the form of Andrey Rublev. It only gets tougher from there too, as a man by the name of Novak Djokovic is also in Kyrgios’ quarter. So realistically, Kyrgios could make either the 3rd or 4th round or even the quarter-finals if he is playing well. But to make it past Djokovic at an event that Novak has won nine times seems like a tall ask.

The thing about Nick Kyrgios is that you just never know what he might produce. And if he brings his A-game, he really is a dark horse to win the tournament.

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