Jessica Pegula vs Marta Kostyuk prediction and odds: San Diego Open 2024

Jessica Pegula vs Marta Kostyuk prediction and odds: San Diego Open 2024

The 2024 San Diego Open has reached the semi-finals stage. This means that just a few top matches remain for this event, and today, I’m covering Pegula vs Kostyuk to see who will reach the finals. On that note, you can see my full tennis predictions today for this semi-final match below.

Our favourite Jessica Pegula vs Marta Kostyuk predictions

Coming into this game, it goes without saying that Jessica Pegula is the red-hot favourite. She’s the number 1 seed, and she’s beaten Marta Kostyuk two times before. However, Kostyuk is obviously playing good tennis this week, as she has reached the semi-finals. 

What does all of this mean for my predictions ahead of this match? Let me highlight and explain them now.

Pegula to win 2-0 @ 10/11 (1.91)

There are a couple of reasons behind this first prediction. For starters, Jessica Pegula dismantled Kostyuk in their last meeting, which was just over 12 months ago. Secondly, Pegula is ranked 5 in the world while Kostyuk is ranked 34 – a big difference at this level.

Pegula -3.5 games handicap @ 7/10 (1.70)

Given that Jessica Pegula only needs to secure a single break in a 2-0 victory for this market to be a winner, I feel this is an appropriate complement to the previous prediction. Additionally, Pegula lost just 2 games to Kostyuk when she beat her at the 2023 Australian Open.

Jessica Pegula vs Marta Kostyuk odds

The implied probability for Pegula to win this match is 75%, while the chance for Kostyuk is down at 33.30%.

Pegula sets her sights on San Diego 2024 crown

I’ve supplied my predictions for Jessica Pegula’s next match above, but let me now cover both players in a little more detail.

Jessica Pegula preview

At 5 in the world, Jessica Pegula is a true force of nature on the WTA Tour. She has a super aggressive game, and she’s ultra-competitive, which is why she’s been so successful in recent times. And while some feared she might be rusty, having last competed at the 2024 Australian Open, she’s looked sharp in San Diego.

Marta Kostyuk preview

Interestingly, Marta Kostyuk also hadn’t competed since the 2024 Australian Open prior to the San Diego Open. But much like Pegula, she’s found her top tennis pretty quickly, as we’ve seen in her win against Pavlyuchenkova in the quarter-finals. To add another interesting factor to this one, Kostyuk reached the quarters of the Australian Open while Pegula lost in the second round!

Pegula vs Kostyuk head to head

This is the bit that Jessica Pegula will want to focus on most. I say this as the American holds a 2-0 head-to-head record against Marta Kostyuk, and she’s dropped just one set in those two matches, which she lost by a 7-6 scoreline. As for the other sets that make up these results, Pegula hasn’t lost more than 2 games in any of them.

Key match details

Pegula vs Kostyuk prediction

  • Match Schedule – March 3rd, 01:00 GMT
  • Venue – San Diego, USA
  • Viewing Options – Sky Sports, Tennis TV

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