Jasmine Paolini vs Madison Keys prediction and odds: Wimbledon 2024

Jasmine Paolini vs Madison Keys prediction and odds: Wimbledon 2024
Photo by Icon Sport

Ready to dive into the upcoming fourth round at Wimbledon between Jasmine Paolini and Madison Keys? It should be a corker of a game. And that’s precisely why I’ve spent time generating my tennis predictions today for this match – as discussed below! 

Our favourite Jasmine Paolini vs Madison Keys predictions

As we inch ever closer to the second week of Wimbledon 2024, the drama is getting more and more intense. This is particularly true when you get big names clashing at SW19, as is the case for Paolini vs Keys. Each player has yet to drop a set, but what are the best markets to wager on? 

Well, let me share my thoughts right now.

Paolini +3.5 games handicap @ 7/10 (1.70)

Don’t let the most recent odds fool you – Paolini is one of the most ‘in form’ players on tour right now. She’s been on fire in 2024, and her transition from the clay of Paris to the grass of London has been impressive. I believe she can push Madison Keys all the way in this game, but picking a winner is tough. Therefore, I think this market is a good shout, given the odds available.

Over 20.5 games @ 8/13 (1.62)

This match has all the ingredients for an intriguing nail-biter. Keys can blast winners from anywhere on the court, but Paolini can scramble and defend like the best of them. And since both players are in such great form, this one could go right down to the wire. 

Jasmine Paolini vs Madison Keys odds

The latest odds suggest that Paolini has a mere 43.50% chance to win this match. As for Keys, her win probability is higher at 64.50%.

Two seeds hungry for a spot in the quarter-finals of Wimbledon 2024

Let’s take a closer look at these two contenders before they lock horns on Sunday.

Jasmine Paolini preview

What a year it’s been for Paolini! The Italian has been turning heads left and right, reaching the French Open final and now making her deepest Wimbledon run yet. Her all-court game has adapted beautifully to grass, and that win over Andreescu proves she can handle the heat. If she can weather Keys’ power and keep the points long, we might just see an upset brewing.

Madison Keys preview

Keys enters this match as the favourite, and for good reason. Her game is tailor-made for grass – big serve, huge groundstrokes, and the ability to end points in the blink of an eye. She’s got the experience, too, having reached the Wimbledon quarters before. The only question mark is consistency – if her radar’s off, Paolini could capitalize.

Paolini vs Keys head to head

Interestingly, these two have played just once on the WTA Tour. It’s Keys who holds the advantage over the Italian too, with a 1-0 record. This is thanks to a commanding 6-1 6-1 win over Paolini on the hard courts of Dubai last season.

Key match details

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Photo by Icon Sport
  • Match Schedule – July 7th, 12:00 GMT
  • Venue – London, UK
  • Viewing Options – BBC, Tennis TV

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