Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedev prediction and odds: Italian Open 2024

Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedev prediction and odds: Italian Open 2024
Photo by Icon Sport

After beating Borna Coric in the first round, Jack Draper has set up an interesting clash with the 2nd seed – Daniil Medvedev. This one is coming up on May 11th, and I’ve got a couple of key markets for you to consider backing right here.

Our favourite Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedev predictions

It goes without saying that Jack Draper isn’t exactly favoured to get the win here. But Medvedev can be shaky on clay, even if he is the defending champion at the 2024 Italian Open. That being said, taking things like form, results on clay, and other factors into account, I’ve landed on the following two tips for this game:

Medvedev to win @ 11/20 (1.55)

Given the ranking of Medvedev and his experience in these events, I have to take Medvedev for the win in this game. Sure, Draper is playing well and he is definitely a star of the future, but I cannot see him taking down the 2nd seed. And with those odds available, there’s plenty of value in this wager.

Medvedev -2.5 games handicap @ 4/5 (1.80)

As the defending champion, you’d expect a compelling performance from Medvedev here. And by ‘compelling’, I mean you’d expect to see a fairly routine win – possibly in straight sets. Based on how many balls Medvedev puts back in the court, I can see him breaking Draper a couple of times and securing this margin.

Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedev odds

The implied probability of Draper winning this one is 43.50%. As for the chance of a win for Medvedev, this sits at 64.50% based on the most recent odds.

Draper facing tough challenge against 2nd seed Medvedev in Italian Open

After running through my tennis predictions today for this game, let me wrap things up with a quick preview for both players.

Jack Draper preview

While Draper has picked up a couple of decent wins in the clay court swing, he has failed to beat the top guys on the biggest stages. Of course, that’s what he must do if he is to progress to the third round of the Italian Open here. But as mentioned previously, with Medvedev’s experience, and given that he is the defending champion, this is a very tall order.

Daniil Medvedev preview

Daniil Medvedev is looking to defend his points at the Italian Open this year, which puts added pressure on these kinds of matches. That said, there are a few question marks over his fitness after his mid-match retirement in the quarters of the Madrid Open. However, I’m sure he has done the necessary rehab since then to make sure that he is fighting fit and ready to roll for the Italian Open.

Draper vs Medvedev head to head

This will be the first meeting between Draper and Medvedev on the ATP Tour, meaning that the head to head is 0-0.

Key match details

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Photo by Icon Sport
  • Match Schedule – May 11th, 10:00 GMT
  • Venue – Rome, Italy
  • Viewing Options – Sky Sports, Tennis TV

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