Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula prediction and odds: Canadian Open 2023

The semi-finals of the Montreal Open are set, and for this clash – it’s Swiatek vs Pegula in a contest of the 1st vs 4th seed. This match will be played later this evening, but what markets should you cover? Let me reveal my tennis predictions today for this match right now.

These odds from Ladbrokes were correct at the time of writing.

Swiatek vs Pegula – match predictions

These two have played each other seven times in the past, showing quite a rivalry! However, as you’d expect, it’s the world number one, Iga Swiatek, that has the lead over Jessica Pegula. Specifically, Swiatek has beaten the American five times compared to just two wins for Pegula – quite a difference. At the same time, Swiatek is the top seed for this tournament, whereas Pegula is seeded 4th. So on paper, and in reality, it’s Swiatek that should win this one.

2023 Canadian Open


Yet for the best bets to make, I would recommend the following:

Pegula to win a set – yes

In my opinion, the odds of 10/11 for Pegula to win a set shows great value. After all, Pegula is playing great in this tournament, and she smoked Swiatek by a score of 6-2 6-2 in the 2023 United Cup. So she is certainly capable of taking a set.

Pegula +5.5 games handicap

Since I’m shooting for Pegula to win a set, it makes sense to double down and go for a +5.5 games handicap for the American too. Of course, there is a chance that this could occur even if Pegula was to lose in straight sets. But if she does manage to secure a set, this market becomes very likely to pull through.

Swiatek vs Pegula preview

These are two big names on the WTA Tour, but still, let me share a quick preview for each to give you some insight into what’s to come.

Iga Swiatek preview

As I’m sure you know, Iga Swiatek is the world number one. She’s practically unbeatable when she hits top gear, and she has beaten Pegula five times in the past. As for her performances at the National Bank Open in 2023, she’s gone three sets in two of her three matches. Then again, she’s faced tough opponents, and she’s still pulled through.

Jessica Pegula preview

Pegula is the 4th seed, as you’ve seen above, and she was pretty prolific in her opening two matches of the Montreal Open. Adding to that, she managed to overcome her doubles partner and 6th seed, Coco Gauff in the quarter-finals. Given that Gauff won the Citi Open last week, this is a big win for Pegula, and she will no doubt feel confident as a result of this win.

Swiatek vs Pegula head to head

As referenced earlier, these two have played plenty of matches against one another in the past. There have been 7 matches in total between these two, and the head-to-head is 5-2 in Swiatek’s favor. However, since Swiatek became the world number 1, the head-to-head would actually be 3-1 for Swiatek, with the loss of just three sets in four matches.

Swiatek vs Pegula match details

  • Match Schedule – August 12th, 17:45 GMT
  • Venue – Toronto, Canada
  • Viewing Options – Amazon Prime

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