Tennis

Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka prediction and odds: Italian Open 2024

Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka prediction and odds: Italian Open 2024
Photo by Icon Sport

We’ve got just a few tennis predictions today left to share with you for the 2024 Italian Open. As for the women’s singles, just one match remains, and it’s the one we’ve all waited for – Swiatek vs Sabalenka. Let me show you how this one could go below. 

Our favourite Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka predictions

Swiatek has looked absolutely incredible in Rome this year. She’s secured her shot at the title without dropping a single set so far, and she now faces arguably her biggest rival on tour at the moment, Sabalenka. As for the world number two, she’s the defending champion, and she won’t give up her crown without a fight.

This brings me to the following predictions for the game:

Over 19.5 games @ 7/10 (1.70)

Three of the last matches between these two have resulted in more than 19.5 games. And with the way things have been going in Rome, I can see this happening between Swiatek and Sabalenka on Saturday. 

Three total sets @ 17/10 (2.70)

Since I believe that the game will involve over 19.5 games, the best bet is that the match will also involve three sets. Of course, if this occurs, the first prediction will also pull through alongside this one. And for me, it’s always best to cover two markets that can win together instead of picking one at the expense of another!

Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka odds

The latest odds confirm that Swiatek has an 80% chance of winning this final, while the probability of Sabalenka doing so is 27.80%. 

Will Swiatek make it two in a row against Sabalenka in Rome?

With my predictions out of the way, let’s shift the focus to the world number one and two ahead of the finals of the 2024 Italian Open. 

Iga Swiatek preview

Iga Swiatek is looking to win her second straight 1000-level title on clay in a row. As referenced above, she won the Madrid Open, beating Sabalenka 7-6 in the final. And in Rome, she hasn’t lost a single set – destroying the likes of Gauff, Keys, and Putintseva this week to set up a rematch with Sabalenka.

Aryna Sabalenka preview

Besides Iga Swiatek, Aryna Sabalenka has had the best run of things in recent weeks on the WTA Tour. She made the final in Madrid, and she’s made the final once again in Rome. That said, she’s lost a couple of sets en route to the final of the Italian Open, yet she looked fantastic against Collins in the semis.

Swiatek vs Sabalenka head to head

This is quickly evolving into one of the most exciting rivalries we’ve seen in WTA tennis in recent times. As for how things stand, Swiatek has the lead over Sabalenka with a 7-3 head-to-head record against the current world number two. The most recent of which was a classic final at the Madrid Open – won by Swiatek.

Key match details

ICONSPORT 223020 0010
Photo by Icon Sport
  • Match Schedule – May 18th, 16:00 GMT
  • Venue – Rome, Italy
  • Viewing Options – Sky Sports, Tennis TV


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