Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy Paul prediction and odds: Italian Open 2024

Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy Paul prediction and odds: Italian Open 2024
Photo by Icon Sport

Two heavyweights of men’s tennis are set to compete in the Italian Open quarter-finals. It’s Hurkacz vs Paul in what promises to be an entertaining match, but only one will reach the semis. Who will this be, and what markets should you cover? Let me share my two cents now.

Our favourite Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy Paul predictions

When it comes to generating high-value tennis predictions today, you’ve got to look at all angles. Of course, I’ve done exactly that in my assessment of this upcoming game between the 7th and 14th seeds. Specifically, I’ve chosen two markets for Hurkacz vs Paul, and both of them have been explained here:

Hurkacz to win @ 4/7 (1.57)

I wouldn’t normally be so quick to back Hurkacz on the clay. However, his results this week have been phenomenal. He’s taken out three fantastic clay court players in a row, including Rafael Nadal. So, with these results, I have to take the 7th seed for the win here.

Hurkacz to win 2-0 @ 6/4 (2.50)

If you think that the possible return of the first prediction just isn’t enough, don’t worry; I’ve got another one to share with you. In my opinion, Hurkacz could definitely take this match in straight sets if he serves well. And with those odds available, it’s worth backing a 2-0 win for the Polish player.

Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy Paul odds

As per the most recent odds for this match, Hurkacz has a 63.60% probability of victory here compared with just a 42.10% chance for Paul. 

Hurkacz set for continued streak at the 2024 Italian Open

To give further substance to my predictions for this game above, let me discuss both players from a broader perspective via a quick preview.

Hubert Hurkacz preview

Hurkacz is a bit of a veteran of the tour at the highest level. He’s a top-10 player, and he has a habit of producing big results when you least expect it. That’s certainly how I’d describe his run at the Italian Open. Yet, on the clay, these results don’t occur by accident, which is why I think he has the edge here.

Tommy Paul preview

Paul is ranked a little lower than Hurkacz at 16 in the world. Yet he is one of the most talented guys out there, as evidenced by his commanding win over the defending champion, Medvedev, in round four. Then again, he’s not a natural clay court player, and he has struggled against big servers in the past due to his style of play.

Hurkacz vs Paul head to head

The head-to-head for Hurkacz vs Paul currently sits at 1-1. Interestingly, both matches were played in Masters 1000 tournaments, but it was Paul who won the most recent meeting in 2023. This was a hard-fought three-set win in Indian Wells. So, things are shaping up nicely for an entertaining game here.

Key match details

ICONSPORT 199370 0077
Photo by Icon Sport
  • Match Schedule – May 16th, 10:00 GMT
  • Venue – Rome, Italy
  • Viewing Options – Sky Sports, Tennis TV

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