Hubert Hurkacz vs Rafael Nadal prediction and odds: Italian Open 2024

Hubert Hurkacz vs Rafael Nadal prediction and odds: Italian Open 2024
Photo by Icon Sport

The legend that is Rafael Nadal is taking to the clay once again in Rome in a second round match against Hubert Hurkacz. This should be a high quality and very interesting match, which is why I’ve supplied a few tennis predictions today for you to check out right here.

Our favourite Hubert Hurkacz vs Rafael Nadal predictions

If you look at the most recent odds for Hurkacz vs Nadal, there is very little separating these two. That said, Hurkacz is the 7th seed, while Nadal is competing under a protected ranking, and the Spaniard did look a little vulnerable in round one. However, we’re talking about the best clay court player to ever live here, which leads me to the following predictions:

Nadal to win @ 10/11 (1.91)

Nadal may have struggled in his opening match at the Italian Open, but he played some solid stuff at the Madrid Open last week. And I believe that he will start to find his groove after coming through that tight opener. Furthermore, I think his game matches up quite well against Hurkacz – indicating a likely win for Rafa.

Over 22.5 games @ 19/20 (1.95)

There are two reasons I think this market is a good choice. Firstly, Hurkacz has a massive serve, which means that a tie-break or two is very possible. And secondly, I believe there is a good chance that we could witness a three set match if both guys bring their A game.

Hubert Hurkacz vs Rafael Nadal odds

Hurkacz has a 54.50% chance of winning this encounter while the probability of Nadal coming through is 52.40% – as per the latest moneyline odds.

Can Nadal prolong his final hoorah at the 2024 Italian Open?

Let’s move away from the predictions now and discuss how things are looking for these two at the Italian Open.

Hubert Hurkacz preview

Hubert Hurkacz has played okay in the 2024 clay court swing. He’s enjoyed a few decent wins, but he hasn’t exactly excelled over the last few weeks. However, with his game style, Hurkacz is always going to be a threat – mainly due to his world class serve and enormous forehand.

Rafael Nadal preview

Truth be told – Rafa didn’t look great in his first-round match. But we’ve seen this with Nadal in the past, and if there’s one thing I’ve learned over the years, it’s that we can never write Nadal off. Additionally, if he digs in and manages to get a read on Hurkacz’s serve, I think that things will swing in his favour, not to mention the crowd support he is sure to receive.

Hurkacz vs Nadal head to head

Amazingly, this will be the very first time that Hurkacz and Nadal have faced one another on the ATP Tour. This is pretty wild, considering how long both guys have been at the top of the game, and it adds an interesting dynamic to this match.

Key match details

ICONSPORT 214989 0097
Photo by Icon Sport
  • Match Schedule – May 11th, 10:00 GMT
  • Venue – Rome, Italy
  • Viewing Options – Sky Sports, Tennis TV

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