Holger Rune vs Felix Auger-Aliassime prediction and odds: China Open 2023

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Here we have the 3rd seed, Holger Rune, looking to advance beyond the unseeded Felix Auger-Aliassime in the first round of the China Open. And as this event draws closer, let me share my tennis predictions today for this match.

Our favourite Holger Rune vs Felix Auger-Aliassime predictions

Contents

1 Our favourite Holger Rune vs Felix Auger-Aliassime predictions
2 Holger Rune set for immediate success in return to ATP Tour
3 Key match details

Holger Rune is one of the most improved youngsters on the ATP Tour, as proven by the fact that he is currently ranked 4 in the world. As for Felix Auger-Aliassime, this Canadian has previously been right up there with the best, yet he has struggled for form in 2023. Therefore, taking this, as well as other elements into account, I’ve established two ATP China Open predictions for this contest.

**Rune to win @ 23*/20 (2.15)***

Rune has been out with injury for a few weeks now. In fact, he was injured during the US Open, so he probably shouldn’t have played. Nevertheless, he is now back in action in the China Open, and I believe he will beat Felix Auger-Aliassime in this match. And I say this because while Auger-Aliassime hasn’t been injured, his confidence is very low at the minute, as reflected by his results.

**Three total sets @ 5*/4 (2.25)***

The reason that I think this match will go three sets comes down to the two factors mentioned above. Since Rune has been injured, it might take him a set to regain what many call ‘match sharpness’. So if Auger-Aliassime takes advantage of that and snags a set, it’s game on for a three-set battle.

Holger Rune vs Felix Auger-Aliassime odds

With 23/20 odds on the table for Holger Rune to win this match, this gives him a 46.50% chance of victory. As for Felix Auger-Aliassime, his probability is 60.60% given the 13/20 odds for him to win.

The odds in this article were correct at the time of writing, and the odds are subject to change. We recommend checking with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Holger Rune set for immediate success in return to ATP Tour

Before these guys hit the courts in Beijing, let me share a quick preview for each individual, which can be factored into your betting decisions if desired.

Holger Rune preview

As mentioned above, Holger Rune has experienced some injury woes over the last month or two. His back has been troubling him, but really, that’s due to the sheer volume of tennis he has been playing. Yet now that he has had a chance to rest and recover, I feel he will be fighting fit and ready to go at the China Open.

Felix Auger-Aliassime preview

Since the US Open, in which Auger-Aliassime lost in the first round, he has only competed in the Laver Cup. In that event, sure, he did beat Gael Monfils, but this could well be a flash in the pan. He has yet to show signs of truly being back to form, which is why I think Rune will win.

Rune vs Auger-Aliassime head to head

These youngsters have played each other twice in recent times. In fact, both matches were played in 2022 on indoor hard courts. Auger-Aliassime won the first encounter in straight sets while the reverse was true in their most recent match in Paris.