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Novak Djokovic secured his 92nd ATP title yesterday in stunning fashion. He saved a match point against Sebastian Korda to capture the ATP 250 Adelaide International. Even more amazingly, this was the 8th title that Djokovic has won after facing a match point at some time in the tournament. For me, this is just ridiculous, and it shows what a true gladiator this man is out on the court.
During the tournament, Djokovic also pasted the man who is the second favourite to win the 2023 Australian Open – Daniil Medvedev. Djokovic dished the 2022 Australian Open finalist a 6-3 6-4 drumming on the fast hard courts of Adelaide. And really, this was equally as impressive as his victory against Korda in the final.
Of course, this title win in Adelaide has caused many pundits to speculate on Djokovic’s chances at the Australian Open 2023. Yet while we can all speculate on his chances, the current odds don’t lie. Following this victory, Djokovic has moved to outright odds that fall below evens to win the first slam of the season. Again, this is pretty staggering.
And below, you can see why this is the case. I’ve also shared my own thoughts on his chances down under as an added bonus.
Djokovic Outright Winner Odds at 2023 Australian Open – 1.83
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Yes, you really have seen those odds correctly! Novak Djokovic now has odds of 1.83 to win his 10th Australian Open title in Melbourne this year. Just go give this some perspective, the second favourite to win the tournament is Daniil Medvedev and his odds are down at 5.00. So clearly, there is plenty of daylight between Djokovic and the rest of the field.
Yet there are a few things worth noting surrounding the drop in odds that we’ve seen after yesterday’s title:
Almost Flawless in Adelaide
Of the five matches that Novak Djokovic played in Adelaide, he lost just one set. This came in the final against the in-form American, Sebastian Korda. And having watched the match, Djokovic didn’t exactly look at his best. Nevertheless, this victory in Adelaide has helped to lower the outright odds for Djokovic to lift the trophy in Melbourne.
Withdrawal of Carlos Alcaraz
There are many pundits out there that would argue that Carlos Alcaraz is the only man who could’ve stopped Djokovic in Melbourne. To be honest, this is an opinion that I also share. Alcaraz is the only player at the moment with the power, consistency, and belief to beat Novak Djokovic in his most successful slam. Yet since Alcaraz announced his withdrawal from the event, things instantly look much better for Djokovic.
No Other Player Looking Dominant
Usually, in the build-up to these tournaments, it’s important to look at the form of other big players. I say this from the perspective of identifying who might cause a threat to Djokovic. And on that note, I can’t see any stand-out player at the moment who is looking dangerous enough to challenge the Serb at the 2023 Australian Open.
So this is another factor that has helped the shift to 1.83 outright odds for Djokovic.
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