Alex De Minaur Australian Open 2023: Odds, next match and predictions

Alex De Minaur Australian Open 2023 – what can this man do in the men’s singles? Read through our predictions here.

De Minaur Australian Open 2023 Odds

Alex De Minaur is the top ranked Aussie at the moment. He goes into the 2023 Australian Open as the number 22 seed, and his actual ATP ranking is 24. This puts him just 2 spots behind the current Australian number one, Nick Kyrgios. However, after Kyrgios pulled out of the tournament all of the hopes of the locals shifted towards De Minaur. Needless to say, he is a great player. And due to this style, he is a pretty tough guy to beat, especially on his favoured surface – hard courts.

With this in mind, here are the current outright odds on De Minaur to win the Aussie Open next week:

You might have thought that the odds would be slightly lower for a guy who is ranked this high. However, De Minaur has never gone beyond the 4th round at the Australian Open in six attempts. So while yes, he’s a top player, he’s not one of the main contenders to win the title. Also in round 4 he will face the ‘King of Melbourne’ and tournament favourite Novak Djokovic.

Upcoming match vs Djokovic – De Minaur Australian Open 2023

De Minaur will need everything he has to even force Djokovic to think more. We can’t see the Aussie really troubling Djokovic as his style of play suits the Serb very well. De Minaur’s weak first serve will be up against the best returner out there. He can’t rely on Djokovic loosing too many long rallies either and also the Serb never gifts his opponents lots of unforced errors.

The one big hope De Minaur has for this match is that the wild Australian fans can somehow unsettle Djokovic, but the chances of that happening for more than a minute or so are very, very slim. His other hope is that Djokovic’s hurt hamstring could start causing the favourite more serious issues than up to now. Without both of these things becoming reality we believe De Minaur stand no chance of winnings.

De Minaur Form Ahead of the 2023 Australian Open

Usually, a good indicator of the way that a player is performing at the moment is to assess their last five matches. This way, the results are recent enough that they are relevant. And in the case of warm-up events prior to a Grand Slam, the last five matches have often been played on the same surface too. This is true for De Minaur, and you can see the results of his last five games below:

  • De Minaur vs Nadal – won – 3-6, 6-1, 7-5
  • De Minaur vs Norrie – lost – 3-6, 3-6
  • De Minaur vs Auger-Aliassime – lost – 3-6, 4-6
  • De Minaur vs Cilic – won – 6-2, 6-2
  • De Minaur vs van de Zandschulp – won – 5-7, 6-3, 6-4

All of these five matches were played on hard courts. Of course, this is the surface on that the Australian Open is also played. And as seen, De Minaur has enjoyed a huge result recently at the 2023 United Cup. He beat the number one seed for the Aussie Open, Rafael Nadal in a three-set thriller. As for the two losses he sustained in the last five, these both came against opponents ranked higher than him.

De Minaur Australian Open 2023 Results

  • De Minaur vs Hsiou Hsu – Won – 6-2, 6-2, 6-3 (2023 Australia Open 1st Round)

  • De Minaur – Mannarino – Won – 7-6 (3), 4-6, 6-4, 6-1 (2023 Australian Open 2nd Round)
  • De Minaur – Bonzi – Won – 7-6 (0), 6-2, 6-1 (2023 Australian Open 3rd Round)

De Minaur had problems against the world number 48 Bonzi only in the first set of their round 3 encounter. The Aussie threw away 5:3 lead in the set, but then won the tiebreak without dropping a point. This crushed Bonzi’s ambitions and De Minaur stormed through the next 2 sets quickly to equal his best ever run in Australia.

Lucky with the draw the only Australian left standing is yet to face a player higher than 45th in the world rankings. He still had serious problems dispatching Mannarino in round 2, but just about did enough.

Despite his good run so far De Minaur has had serious problems with his serve. He doesn’t have powerful ground strokes either, so for him the main way to win points is to rely on unforced errors, or to enter long rallies.

De Minaur Injury update: Fully fit for Australia Open 2023

Alex De Minaur is just 24 years of age, so he shouldn’t really be picking up too many injuries. On that note, we are pleased to report that he has no injuries worth noting at the moment. He was fully fit when competing in the United Cup just a week or two ago. Adding to that, his movement around the court seemed better than it has ever been.

Of course, things would need to be this way if he was to produce a win against the legendary Rafael Nadal. Therefore, it’s assumed that De Minaur is still 100% fit and healthy for the Australian Open.

De Minaur Australian Open Previous Results

As we touched upon earlier, Alex De Minaur has participated in the Australian Open six times. This dates back to when he was just 17 years of age, as he did miss one year in 2020. In his first appearance which was back in 2016, he fell in the first round of qualifying. Yet he worked hard for the next 12 months to better this performance significantly, reaching the second round in 2017. Since then, he has lost in the first round (2018), third round (2019), third round again (2021), and fourth round (2022).

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His performance last year went down as his personal best. As you’ve seen above, De Minaur made the 4th round in 2022, and he ultimately lost to Jannik Sinner – an incredibly talented Italian player. So this wasn’t exactly a bad loss, and he has proven that he has what it takes to win many matches back-to-back in Melbourne.

And if you are keen to learn statistics, De Minaur has an 8-5 win/loss record at the Australian Open. This means that he has a winning percentage of 61.54% at the Australian Open. Of course, that’s pretty good, and he goes into the tournament this year in great form.

De Minaur Australian Open 2023 Prediction – 4th round

While we’ve talked at length about De Minaur being a top player these days, he’s not exactly received a great draw. This has impacted his chances of a solid run at the Australian Open, for reasons that must be highlighted now. Sure, his opening round was great, and he breezed past his lower-ranked opponent without too much trouble. Yet he faces  Mannarino next, a player who is very tricky to beat. Despite being seriously tested De Minaur won this matchup.

He then had luck with the draw and easily beat lower ranked Bonzi in round 3 to book a meeting with Novak Djokovic, who is the nine-time champion. Djokovic is the heavy favourite to win the tournament this year too, so De Minaur will need some serious luck to make it beyond the 4th round.

This would equal his personal best, of course, which would still be decent.

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