Danielle Collins vs Caroline Garcia prediction and odds: Italian Open 2024

Danielle Collins vs Caroline Garcia prediction and odds: Italian Open 2024
Photo by Icon Sport

I’ve looked at the upcoming games for the WTA Italian Open this weekend and I’ve chosen to provide some tennis predictions today for Collins vs Garcia. Not only is this an exciting third-round match-up, but there are some great value markets you can cover, too. Let me give you the details.

Our favourite Danielle Collins vs Caroline Garcia predictions

Besides a three set loss to Aryna Sabalenka in Madrid, Danielle Collins has been almost perfect in recent times. She’s still the ‘player of the moment’ in my opinion, and she’s beaten her upcoming opponent four times in the past. This leads me to the following suggestions for this third-round match in Rome:

Collins to win 2-0 @ 1/1 (2.00)

I stated above that Collins has beaten Garcia four times on the WTA Tour. But even more impressively, she has never dropped a set to Garcia in any of their previous meetings. Therefore, the fact that you could double your money for this market is almost too good to be true!

Collins -3.5 games handicap @ 3/4 (1.75)

In all of their previous meetings, there has been just one tie-break between Collins and Garcia. Therefore, all signs point to a successful -3.5 games handicap for Collins in the Eternal City. Once again, the odds are appealing enough to justify this selection too.

Danielle Collins vs Caroline Garcia odds

Collins has a 71.40% probability of taking the win here compared to a 34.80% chance for Garcia. This is based on the most recent moneyline odds.

Will Collins make it five wins in a row against Garcia?

You’ve now got my predictions locked down for this match. But I’d like to enhance these further by giving a bit more insight into these players before the match begins. 

Danielle Collins preview

In her last three tournaments, Danielle Collins has taken two titles and made the round of 16 in the Madrid Open. Of course, she lost to Sabalenka in three sets in that match, which suggests she’s one of the best in the world right now. At the same time, she’s currently ranked 15 on the WTA Tour, so she’ll no doubt be motivated to crack the top 10.

Caroline Garcia preview

Caroline Garcia has previously been right up there in the WTA rankings. But she’s dropped out of that elite group over the last couple of seasons. Nevertheless, she’s still capable of top level tennis on her day, but I think it’s a tall ask for her to challenge such an in-form player. Additionally, she won’t be confident given her results against Collins in the past.

Collins vs Garcia head to head

Danielle Collins has beaten Caroline Garcia four times in the past, making the H2H 4-0 in her favour. This is obviously significant going into their third round clash at the Italian Open. And more significantly, Collins has never lost a set to Garcia!

Key match details

ICONSPORT 206669 0081
Photo by Icon Sport
  • Match Schedule – May 12th, 10:00 GMT
  • Venue – Rome, Italy
  • Viewing Options – Sky Sports, Tennis TV

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