Daniel Evans vs Fabio Fognini prediction and odds: Italian Open 2024

Daniel Evans vs Fabio Fognini prediction and odds: Italian Open 2024
Photo by Icon Sport

My Italian Open 2024 preview included a range of intriguing first round matches for you to watch. And the upcoming game between Evans and Fognini is another exciting match you should tune in for. Additionally, it’s a great match as far as enticing betting markets go, as the following predictions confirm.

Our favourite Daniel Evans vs Fabio Fognini predictions

Have you had a chance to check out our other tennis predictions today for the Italian Open? If not, I encourage you to do so. But for this game, we’re discussing Evans vs Fognini, and this first round match should be a fiery one. The flashy Italian is obviously playing in front of home fans, while Evans has struggled to find his clay-court form in 2024.

That said, I’ve come up with the following predictions for Evans vs Fognini:

Fognini to win @ 13/20 (1.65)

Despite having the lower ranking of the two, Fognini is actually the favourite to win this match. And with the odds you see above, I believe there is value in picking the Italian to score this first round win.

Over 22.5 games @ 8/11 (1.73)

Although I have a feeling that Fognini will win this match, I don’t think it will be a walk in the park. After all, Fognini has a habit of losing focus in matches, which often costs him a set or even the match in some instances. 

Daniel Evans vs Fabio Fognini odds

Based on the most recent moneyline odds, Evans has a 46.50% probability of victory here, while the chance for Fognini is 57.90%.

Can Evans stun Fognini in front of a feisty Italian crowd?

Putting predictions aside, let’s run through a very brief preview for these guys ahead of this first-round clash.

Daniel Evans preview

Believe it or not, Dan Evans hasn’t won a single match in the clay court swing in 2024. This obviously doesn’t look great on paper, and it’s one of the reasons behind the predictions shared above. However, he’s still ranked much higher than Fognini at 67 in the world, and on the whole, he’s competed in more prestigious tournaments than the Italian wildcard. 

Fabio Fognini preview

Fognini has really gone off the boil in 2024. He’s had to drop down to the Challenger level just to win some matches and push his ranking back up there. But he is ranked just 92 right now, meaning he’s relied on a wildcard entry for the 2024 Italian Open. Then again, we all know the level that Fognini can produce if he’s in the right mood, and in my opinion, he’s a better clay court player than Evans.

Evans vs Fognini head to head

The head-to-head between these two stands at 1-0 in favour of Dan Evans. But this one and only match was back in 2020 on an outdoor hard court, so we can’t read too much into the result in terms of its influence on the possible outcome here.

Key match details

ICONSPORT 159026 0030
Photo by Icon Sport
  • Match Schedule – May 8th, 10:00 GMT
  • Venue – Rome, Italy
  • Viewing Options – Sky Sports, Tennis TV

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