Cristian Garin vs Tommy Paul Prediction and Odds: Italian Open 2023

World number 79, Cristian Garin, is taking on world number 17, Tommy Paul, in round two of the Italian Open. Take a look at two key markets you could back right here.

These odds from Ladbrokes were correct at the time of writing.

Garin vs Paul – Match Predictions

Cristian Garin is certainly what I’d call a ‘clay court player’. The Chilean is very much at home on the dirt, whereas Tommy Paul is probably better suited to hard courts. Nevertheless, Tommy Paul is enjoying a fantastic 2023 season, hence his ranking of 17 in the world. So while Garin probably has the edge on clay, Paul will put up a stern test. 

Rome Masters

As for the tennis predictions today concerning this match, take a look at my tips below:

Garin to Win

When all is said and done, I believe that the grinding style of play produced by Garin will prevail here. It’s not that Tommy Paul doesn’t have weapons to neutralize this style – he certainly does. But on a slow clay court, Garin has the style and the fitness to grind Paul down and take the win. However, we can expect some grueling rallies in this one.

Over 22.5 Games

I am going for ‘over 22.5 games’ in this one because I think Paul will certainly challenge Garin. After all, he made the finals of a Challenger event last week before losing to Murray – an event on clay, I might add! But he hasn’t yet played a game at the Italian Open, whereas Garin has. With that said, once Paul finds his feet and gets in the groove, he could push Garin all the way.

Garin vs Paul Preview

No betting predictions are complete without a look into each of the individuals who are about to compete. So let’s dive into a quick preview for these guys now.

Cristian Garin Preview

Garin has previously been one of the highest-ranked guys in the world, and he loves the clay. He’s been doing a fair bit of winning during the clay court season too. In fact, he hasn’t lost inside the first two rounds in any of his three clay court tournaments so far. This has helped him get back to 79 in the world.

Tommy Paul Preview

Since Paul lost his opener at the Madrid Open, he went to France to play a Challenger last week. He did produce some solid wins too before losing in the final. However, while he is 17 in the world due to his earlier results in the season, his game is not suited to clay. He is a power player who thrives on big winners, and since Garin is quick, these shots will be coming back with interest.

Garin vs Paul Head to Head

These two have played each other twice in the past. One of these was back in 2021 in Cincinnati, which Paul won. And the other was at Roland Garros in 2022, where Garin won in four sets. Therefore, with the most recent meeting being on clay, this bodes well for Garin.

Garin vs Paul Match Details

  • Match Schedule – May 12th, 14:00 GMT
  • Venue – Rome, Italy
  • Viewing Options – Amazon Prime


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