Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul prediction and odds: Wimbledon 2024

Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul prediction and odds: Wimbledon 2024
Photo by Icon Sport

The quarter-finals of the men’s singles event at Wimbledon are shaping up nicely. That said, I’ve chosen to cover the mouth-watering clash between Carlos Alcaraz and Tommy Paul for my tennis predictions today. So read on if you want to find out which markets to consider.

Our favourite Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul predictions

In this intriguing battle, we have the defending champion, Carlos Alcaraz, taking on one of the most talented guys on tour, Tommy Paul. These guys have played pretty stunning tennis to reach this point, and they have both beaten each other in the past. But what does all of this mean for the possible outcomes ahead of this contest?

Let me share my two cents on which way this game could swing right now. 

Paul to win a set – yes @ 8/15 (1.53)

In the four matches these guys have played previously, Tommy Paul has only failed to take a set from Alcaraz in one of them. Additionally, he has notched up two wins over the Spaniard in the past, so I’d expect him to take a set here.

Over 37.5 games @ 4/5 (1.80)

Likewise, in the previous four matches between Alcaraz and Paul, the Spaniard has never failed to take a set. Therefore, I believe that all the signs point towards a match that could go either four or five sets on the grass. 

Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul odds

Alcaraz has an 80% chance of winning this match in line with the latest odds. As for Paul, his implied probability of taking out the defending champion is just 26.70%.

Can Paul secure a third win over Alcaraz when they do battle on Centre Court?

Before these guys take to Centre Court on Tuesday, make sure you check out the individual previews below. 

Carlos Alcaraz preview

We all know how deadly Carlos Alcaraz can be on any surface these days. Of course, he is also the defending champion at Wimbledon, which tells you all you need to know about his capabilities on grass. However, he has faced a few scares in the championships so far, especially in his five-set contest with Francis Tiafoe. And for that reason, I’m interested to see whether there are a few chinks in his armour in this quarter-final.

Tommy Paul preview

While Carlos Alcaraz is the defending champion, Tommy Paul has never made it into the quarter-finals of Wimbledon. This means that he is in uncharted territory. But with the way he approaches the game, I doubt that this will phase him. In fact, he tends to bring his best tennis on the biggest stages, which means this game should be a classic. 

Alcaraz vs Paul head to head

As mentioned above, the head-to-head between Carlos Alcaraz and Tommy Paul is balanced at 2-2. Therefore, there isn’t much between these guys when they stand across the net from one another. But this will be the first time they have played professionally on any other surface apart from outdoor hard courts. 

Key match details

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Photo by Icon Sport
  • Match Schedule – July 9th, 13:00 GMT
  • Venue – London, UK
  • Viewing Options – BBC, Tennis TV

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