Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul prediction and odds: Cincinnati Open 2023

Sparks will fly as Carlos Alcaraz and Tommy Paul lock horns at the Western & Southern Open’s Center Court. It’ll be interesting to see which of these players will advance to the next round when it’s all said and done.

The odds in this article were correct at the time of writing, and odds are subject to change. We recommend checking with the bookmaker before placing the bet.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul – match predictions

As Carlos Alcaraz and Tommy Paul battle for a place in the quarter-final of the Cincinnati Open, these are our predictions and tips for this match

Tommy Paul to win at least one set

Carlos Alcaraz is the overwhelming favourite to win this match; which makes sense considering he’s the current World number 1, and has won more titles or reached more finals than any other player on the ATP Tour. However, it’s important to point out that the Spaniard currently trails the head-to-head between these players; as he lost two of three previous encounters with Tommy Paul. In fact, the reigning Wimbledon champion lost to Tommy Paul at the Canadian Open a few days ago: and on that note, we believe there’s a lot of value in backing Paul to not go down in straight sets.

Tommy Paul to cover +4.5 games

We’ve already established that this will be the fourth encounter between these players. Although Tommy Paul lost one of those meetings, he covered +4.5 games in that loss. The American player has impressed lately, winning six of his last seven matches; and considering he covered this spread in all of his encounters with Carlos Alcaraz, we are fairly confident that Paul will do just enough to cover +4.5 games today.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul preview

With our Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul predictions sorted out, let’s take a look at both players’ recent results.

Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz crashed out in the quarter-final of the Toronto Open last week, at the hands of Tommy Paul. He bounced back from that loss with a three-sets victory over Jordan Thompson yesterday. The current World number 1 will look to avenge last week’s loss as he takes on the American player today.

Tommy Paul

On the other hand, Tommy Paul knocked out Ugo Humbert and Miomir Kecmanovic in the previous two rounds, both in straight sets. The American has put up a solid run of results, winning six of his last seven matches. It’ll be interesting to see how Paul will match-up against World number 1 Carlos Alcaraz as he faces the Spaniard for the second consecutive week.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul head to head

These players met on three occasions since August last year, and interestingly, Tommy Paul won two of those clashes. As a matter of fact, Paul defeated Alcaraz just last week at the Canadian Open. All previous skirmishes between these players took place on outdoor hard courts.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul match details

Aug 17, 2022; Cincinnati, OH, USA; General view before the rain of Center Court for the Rafael Nadal (ESP) and Borna Coric (CRO) match at the Western & Southern Open at the at the Lindner Family Tennis Center. Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports/Sipa USA - Photo by Icon sport
Photo by Icon Sport
  • On which court will this match be played? Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul will take place on Center Court.
  • Who do the bookies favour ahead of this match? Carlos Alcaraz is the clear favourite to win this match.
  • Who won the last time these players met? Tommy Paul, in three sets.
  • Where can I watch the Cincinnati Open in the United Kingdom? You can watch this match on Amazon Prime if you live in the UK.

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