Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev prediction and odds: ATP Finals 2023

Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev prediction and odds: ATP Finals 2023

We’re right in the thick of the round-robin stage of the ATP Finals, and I’m excited to share this Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev prediction with you. Of course, with both guys losing their opener, this is a high-pressure game, and I’ve got two markets for you to consider!

Our favourite Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev predictions

As the initial favourite to win the group, Carlos Alcaraz has dug a hole for himself by losing to Zverev. Then again, Rublev isn’t in a great position either, so they will both be desperate to record a win here. As for my Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev prediction, I’ve assessed the betting markets and come up with the following tips:

Rublev to win a set – yes @ 4/7 (1.57)

Although these guys have never played, I still fancy Rublev to take a set against Alcaraz. The big-hitting Russian has a dangerous game that is well-equipped for indoor hard courts. At the same time, Alcaraz seemed shaky against Zverev, which opens the door for Rublev to possibly take advantage of this.

Over 23.5 games @ 23/20 (2.15)

Although I believe that Andrey Rublev will grab a set, I’d still favour Alcaraz for the win overall, although there is no obvious choice. Because of this, it makes sense to cover the over 23.5 games market, especially with such great odds available. In short, as long as Rublev wins a set and the match goes the distance, both of these markets would come through.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev odds

I’ve given my Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev prediction above, but I haven’t yet highlighted the respective win probability for each guy. To change that, Alcaraz has a 65.20% chance to win given his 8/15 odds, and Rublev has a 41.70% chance to win based on his 7/5 odds.

Alcaraz vs Rublev – a fiery showdown guaranteed

Coming into this match, we know how things stand in the Red Group. But to accompany the ATP Finals predictions supplied already, I’d like to offer a quick preview for Alcaraz and Rublev.

Carlos Alcaraz preview

After losing to Alexander Zverev, Alcaraz has now lost three straight ATP matches. Of course, this is incredibly surprising for a player of his stature. And since this is his debut at the ATP Finals, he will be hoping to reverse his fortunes against Rublev.

Andrey Rublev preview

Rublev is now ranked 5 in the world, which is an impressive achievement. However, he let his temper get the better of him against Medvedev, and this has been a repeat problem for Rublev in the past. But if he keeps his cool and manages to dominate with his forehand against Alcaraz, he might be the one who emerges victorious in a decider – that’s if my Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev prediction of a three-setter comes true.

Alcaraz vs Rublev head to head

Despite being so close in terms of their individual rankings, Rublev and Alcaraz have never played each other on the ATP Tour. Therefore, my Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev prediction and tips given earlier are clearly not based on previous matches. Instead, they are based on styles of play and current form – as shown in Turin so far.

Key match details

Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev prediction ATP Finals

  • Match Schedule – November 15th, 13:30 GMT
  • Venue – Turin, Italy
  • Viewing Options – Amazon Prime

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