Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev prediction and odds: ATP Finals 2023

Alexander Zverev vs Carlos Alcaraz prediction ATP Finals 2023
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Hoping to scope out the top ATP Finals 2023 predictions for the group-stage games? You’ll find exactly that with my Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev prediction for the opening match of the Red Group. Find out which way this match might swing, and discover the most appropriate markets to cover within.

Our favourite Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev predictions

Carlos Alcaraz is the favourite to finish top of the Red Group, at least on paper. Yet by his standards, he has struggled of late, which makes my Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev prediction a tricky one. Nevertheless, I’ve ploughed through the numbers and analyzed the form of each guy to create two suitable and valuable predictions for this match.

Over 22.5 games @ 17/20 (1.85)

My opening Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev prediction is for the match to consist of more than 22.5 games in total. On an indoor hard court, I believe Alcaraz will find it tough to break the serve of Zverev, and the German has been playing much better in recent weeks than he maybe has all season. So for me, this suggests that the match might be a very close encounter.

Zverev to win a set – yes @ 8/13 (1.62)

If Zverev serves well and gets off to a fast start, I firmly believe he can take a set from Carlos Alcaraz. In fact, the one and only time these guys faced each other on an indoor hard court, Zverev cleaned up, beating the Spaniard 6-3 6-3. This was back in 2021, sure, but with the way he is playing, taking a set is a very realistic probability. 

Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev odds

Analyzing the moneyline markets for both guys, Alcaraz has a 69.20% chance to win based on the 4/9 odds. Yet for Zverev, his win probability is just 38.10% due to the 13/8 odds that he has.

Alcaraz looking to navigate tricky opening match

This match is approaching quickly. And now you have my Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev prediction; let me provide a preview for these individuals too.

Carlos Alcaraz preview

Everyone knows how sensational Carlos Alcaraz can be at this point. He is the world number two right now, behind only Novak Djokovic, and he has enjoyed a solid 2023 season. However, he has only made the finals in one of his last five tournaments, which by his standards, gives cause for concern.

Alexander Zverev preview

2023 has been a bit of a comeback mission for Alexander Zverev. And it seems as though this mission is almost completed at this point. After all, he’s qualified for the ATP Finals 2023, and he won his first tournament of the season at the end of September. This puts him at eight in the world, and he’s a real threat in this event.

Alcaraz vs Zverev head to head

The head-to-head between these guys is perfectly poised at 3-3. But interestingly, in matches between these two on hard courts, it’s Zverev who has the lead with two wins vs one for Alcaraz. Yet unfortunately for Zverev, in both matches they’ve played against one another in 2023, Alcaraz has come out on top in straight sets.

Key match details

Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev prediction ATP Finals 2023

  • Match Schedule – November 13th, 13:30 GMT
  • Venue – Turin, Italy
  • Viewing Options – Amazon Prime

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