2023 ATP Madrid Open Predictions – Best Tips for the Men’s Event

The 2023 Mutua Madrid Open comes to an end on Sunday; and unlike the women’s side, this hasn’t been a great tournament for the top seeds. We would like to point out that four of eight quarter-finalists were unseeded; three of those featured in the qualifying rounds while two were lucky losers. Furthermore, two of four semi-finalists came from the qualifying rounds, and one of two finalists made it through to the main draw as a lucky loser. Can Jan-Lennard Struff pull off the biggest win of his career today, or will it be business as usual for Carlos Alcaraz?

Mutua Madrid Open Men’s Predictions – Outright Winner

Carlos Alcaraz is massively favoured ahead of Jan-Lennard Struff for obvious reasons. Not only is he the defending champion of this tournament, he has been the hottest player on the ATP Tour in recent months, especially since the start of the clay court swing. The 20 year old is coming into this match on the back of a 10 match winning streak, and has won all of the last 10 sets he played. As a matter of fact, Alcaraz has 20 wins in his last 21 matches; he has suffered just two losses in 2023, with a 28-2 record so far.

On top of that, the former World number 1 has spent less time on the court than his German opponent. While Alcaraz dispatched all of his last four opponents in straight sets, Jan-Lennard Struff is coming off five consecutive three-setters. That said, Carlos Alcaraz has relatively fresher legs than Struff. It’s important to point out, however, that Carlos Alcaraz is valued at 1/16 (1.06) ahead of today’s final; and we don’t think those odds are worth betting on.

It may interest you to know that Jan-Lennard Struff has held his own against Carlos Alcaraz in the past; he has one win in two previous meetings between these players. We would like to point out that Carlos Alcaraz needed five sets in order to beat Struff at Wimbledon last year. In fact, the only other time these players met on clay, Struff won in three straight sets at the French Open. Despite being a heavy underdog, we’re going for value here; and that’s why we’re backing the German to win his first ATP career title today.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Jan-Lennard Struff Head-to-head

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This will be the third meeting between these players, and their second on clay. Interestingly, the previous clashes between these two all came in grand slam events. It’s important to point out that the head-to-head between these players is tied at one win apiece; however, Jan-Lennard Struff came out on top in straight sets when these players met on clay.

  • 27/06/22 Alcaraz won 3-2 (Wimbledon, Grass)
  • 05/06/21 Struff won 3-0 (Roland Garros, Clay)

Carlos Alcaraz – The Journey So Far

  • Semi-final vs Coric – won 2-0
  • Quarter-final vs Khachanov – won 2-0
  • Round of 16 vs Zverev – won 2-0
  • Round of 32 vs Dimitrov – won 2-0
  • Round of 64 vs Ruusuvuori – won 2-1

Jan-Lennard Struff – The Journey So Far

  • Semi-final vs Karatsev – won 2-1
  • Quarter-final vs Tsitsipas – won 2-1
  • Round of 16 vs Cachin – won 2-1
  • Round of 32 vs Lajovic – won 2-1
  • Round of 64 vs Shelton – won 2-1
  • Round of 128 vs Sonego – won 2-0

Frequently Asked Questions About the Mutua Madrid Open

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Rafael Nadal (ESP) during his second round match at the Mutua Madrid Open in Madrid , Spain, on May, 6, 2021. Photo by Corinne Dubreuil/ABACAPRESS.COM Photo by Icon Sport
  • What will the winner of the Mutua Madrid Open get? The Mutua Madrid Open champion gets €1,105,265, along with 1000 ATP ranking points.
  • Who is the defending champion of this tournament? Carlos Alcaraz won the Mutua Madrid Open title last year.
  • Where can I watch the Mutua Madrid Open in the UK? Fans across the United Kingdom can watch this tournament on Amazon Prime.
  • Who is the pre-tournament favourite to win the Mutua Madrid Open? Carlos Alcaraz is favoured over every other player ahead of this tournament.
  • On which surface will the Mutua Madrid Open be played? Matches in this tournament will be played on red clay courts.

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