Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula prediction and odds: Cincinnati Open 2024

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We have officially reached the last round of the 2024 Cincinnati Open for the women’s singles. That means I have several tennis predictions today for you to check out ahead of the upcoming clash between Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Pegula. All of the key details are covered below.

Our favourite Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula predictions

Contents

1 Our favourite Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula predictions
2 Can Pegula secure back-to-back 1000-level titles?
3 Key match details

This match is shaping up to be a classic as we have the third-ranked player in the world taking on the sixth-ranked player. Of course, I’m referencing Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Pegula, respectively. This isn’t the first time these two have battled on a big stage, either.

That being said, I’ve analysed the markets and come up with the following predictions for this match:

Pegula to win @ 19/10 (2.90)

With the the current odds for Pegula to win this match, she is clearly the underdog. However, she is the most in form player on tour right now having won the title in Montreal. Additionally, she beat Sabalenka the last time they played each other.

Pegula +3.5 games handicap @ 10/11 (1.91)

If backing Jessica Pegula for the win is a little risky in your mind, you may want to consider the game handicap market. As you can see, I believe that a +3.5 game handicap for the American is a good play here. And if she were to win the match, that would turn both markets into winners.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula odds

Based on the most recent odds for this match, it appears that Sabalenka has a 73.30% probability of taking the title compared with a 34.50% chance for Pegula.

Can Pegula secure back-to-back 1000-level titles?

Let’s look at these players in more detail before this final unfolds tonight.

Aryna Sabalenka preview

Sabalenka has been nothing short of ruthless all week long in Cincinnati. She reached the final without losing a single set, and the most impressive victory came in her semi-final destruction of world number one, Iga Swiatek. This really was a commanding victory and her performance in that one has been reflected in the moneyline odds for this game.

Jessica Pegula preview

Jessica Pegula has not enjoyed the same straightforward path to the finals of the Cincinnati Open 2024. In fact, she’s had to battle every step of the way, but this means she has firmly earned her spot in the finals. Furthermore, because she won the 1000 level tournament last week in Canada, she will have incredible conference and belief coming into this game.

Sabalenka vs Pegula head to head

It is Aryna Sabalenka who has a winning record over the American at the moment. Specifically, she holds a 4-2 H2H record against Pegula, which is quite commanding in the grand scheme of things. But there is some hope for Pegula fans, as she did beat Sabalenka in straight sets the last time these two met on a hard court.