Alexander Zverev vs Nicolas Jarry prediction and odds: Italian Open 2024

Alexander Zverev vs Nicolas Jarry prediction and odds: Italian Open 2024
Photo by Icon Sport

The Italian Open final is officially confirmed for the men’s singles event. It’s going to be Alexander Zverev vs Nicolas Jarry for the title. But what are my tennis predictions today ahead of the final? Let me take you through them now.

Our favourite Alexander Zverev vs Nicolas Jarry predictions

Alexander Zverev has finally shown the world what he can do in clay just in time for the upcoming Roland Garros event. He’s been emphatic in Rome, dropping just one set in the semis en route to the championship match. As for Nicolas Jarry, this will be his first-ever shot at trying to grab a Masters 1000 title on clay. 

That being said, I’ve created the following predictions for the men’s singles final:

Jarry to win a set – yes @ 8/11 (1.73)

Jarry’s two wins over Zverev in the past have both come on clay. This is significant in terms of his chances to win a set in his first-ever Masters 1000 final. Additionally, in 2 of his 4 losses to Zverev in the past, he has also won a set. 

Over 0.5 tie-breaks @ 1/1 (2.00)

This is a bit of a riskier play compared to other markets, but with those odds, how can we say no? Additionally, both men have big serves, which automatically makes the chances of tie-breaks higher. And in 4 of their 6 meetings, there has been at least one tie-break played. 

Alexander Zverev vs Nicolas Jarry odds

As per the most recent moneyline odds, it’s apparent that Zverev has a 75% probability of winning the title compared with a 29.40% chance for Jarry. 

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Predictions taken care of, let’s now take a quick look at these two individuals ahead of the final. 

Alexander Zverev preview

Alexander Zverev is a top 5 player right now, so you’d expect him to be challenging for these kinds of titles. Of course, the same cannot be said for his opponent. However, Zverev hasn’t been great in the previous clay court events, so I’m sure he’s happy to be back on track in the eternal city. Furthermore, given his experience at this level, you’d expect him to come through this one.

Nicolas Jarry preview

Jarry has produced an incredible tournament in Rome. He’s risen to the challenge on every occasion, taking out Tsitsipas and Paul in the previous two rounds. And for whatever reason, it just feels like now could well be his time to enter the big leagues and claim his first Masters 1000 title – especially since he’s beaten Zverev twice on clay before.

Zverev vs Jarry head to head

The head-to-head between these two guys stands at 4-2 in favour of Zverev. Now, before you think this makes the game a slam dunk for Zverev to win – you should know that Jarry scored two wins over Zverev on clay. Of course, that’s what the final will be played on in Rome.

Key match details

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Photo by Icon Sport
  • Match Schedule – May 19th, 16:00 GMT
  • Venue – Rome, Italy
  • Viewing Options – Sky Sports, Tennis TV

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