Alex de Minaur vs Aslan Karatsev prediction and odds: Japan Open 2023

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Our favourite Alex de Minaur vs Aslan Karatsev – match predictions

De Minaur, who recently dismantled Diego Schwartzman, is looking to continue his successful season, while Karatsev is riding high on momentum after defeating Frances Tiafoe and Zhizhen Zhang.

3 Total sets @ 29/20 (2.45)

De Minaur enters as the favourite, but the outcome of this contest hinges on Karatsev’s firepower and focus, making it a clash that is bound to keep fans on the edge of their seats. While the Australian ace got the better of Schwartzmann in straight sets, his tendency to lose focus was evidenced as the second set saw 12 games after he had bageled the Argentine in the first. Karatsev enters on the back of straight-set victories and will not be easy to tame. Their meeting earlier in Madrid Masters went the distance and we believe it will be a similar story this time around.

Over 22.5 Games @ 1/1 (2.00)

There were 18 games played in De Minaur’s last match despite the first set finishing in six. His prior duel with Jack Draper saw them separated after 36 games of action. The Australian is the higher-ranked and favourite in this duel but Aslan will not go away without a fight. Zhang and Tiafoe learnt this the hard way as they were efficiently disposed of. Their last duel saw 29 games played and we believe they will go at each other with similar vigour and a deciding set needed to separate them. We are backing the Over 22.5 games selection as it provides value and should come to fruition.

Alex de Minaur vs Aslan Karatsev odds

In this highly anticipated Japan Open quarterfinal, Alex holds a substantial 69% chance of emerging victorious, while Aslan faces the challenge with a 37% likelihood of a win. The statistical favouritism leans in the Australian’s direction, but this matchup promises to be an intriguing battle between two dynamic players.

Our predictions for this match have now been established, let’s see how these players have fared so far this season for the latest tennis betting tips and predictions here.

Alex de Minaur preview

Alex de Minaur has been on a remarkable run, displaying his prowess in Tokyo by defeating Diego Schwartzman in a convincing manner. It was a much-improved performance as he struggled to get the better of Draper earlier and only came out on top after triumphing in second and third set tiebreakers This season, he has demonstrated the ability to transform strong starts into significant performances, particularly in high-profile tournaments. With victories in ATP 500 events like Acapulco and a runner-up finish at Queen’s Club and Canadian Open, De Minaur is poised to make his mark in Tokyo.

Aslan Karatsev preview

Aslan Karatsev has had a memorable run at the Japan Open, facing and conquering tough challenges in the form of Frances Tiafoe and Zhizhen Zhang. This marks a significant return to form for Karatsev, who was knocked out in the first round of the Shanghai Masters. However, prior to that he made the semi-finals of the Zhuhai Championships. He will want to continue his perfect record in quarterfinal matches this year, reaching the last four in Pune and Madrid after getting past the third round. Given his strong overall record at this stage, Karatsev will be eager to extend his successful Tokyo campaign.

Alex de Minaur vs Aslan Karatsev head to head

Alex de Minaur and Aslan Karatsev are tied at 1-1 in their head-to-head encounters.

Key match details

• When will this match start? This match starts at 10:00 GMT on 20/10/2023.
• What is the prize money for the Japan Open 2023? The total prize money for the Japan Open 2023 is $2,013,940.
• How much will the Japan Open 2023 winner get? The ATP Japan Open winner will get $376,620.

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