NRL predictions and picks: National League expert tips

The regular season is over, and the NRL finals are already into their third weekend. Now, every match matters, with two more teams guaranteed to go home this weekend, and two more booking themselves a spot in the Grand Final. We break down all the best NRL picks to make ahead of the third finals weekend, with NRL predictions from our expert punters.

Latest NRL predictions for NRL finals week three

There’s a lot on the line in the third week of the NRL finals, with four teams playing for two spots in the Grand Final. Here are our top NRL betting tips ahead of this weekend’s matches:

Penrith Panthers to win 1-12 @ 3.00 (2/1)

Few are giving the Melbourne Storm a chance of winning this match, considering their lousy performance against the Brisbane Broncos a fortnight ago, and the indomitable form of the Penrith Panthers. However, it’s worth noting that the Storm are regulars at this end of the season, and are unlikely to go down without a fight.

Getting annihilated in a qualifying final is one thing, losing a knockout match is another–just ask the Warriors. We say that while Penrith will have too much class for Melbourne, it will be no blowout. Back the Panthers to edge this one 1-12.

Penrith Panthers 1-8 half time/1-12 full time @ 6.50 (11/2)

Last time these two sides met in a post-season match, the Panthers won 10-6 in the 2021 preliminary finals. That match saw just one try scored in the first half, and we say it will be a similar result here, with an Origin-esque start seeing little for the scoreboard man to do. It’s a slightly higher risk bet than simply taking Penrith 1-12 overall, but for a result of more than double, feels well worth it.

New Zealand Warriors / Brisbane Broncos half time / full time @ 7.00 (6/1)

In the weekend’s other preliminary final, the New Zealand Warriors head to Brisbane in an attempt to dethrone the Broncos. With Brisbane being pacer-setters all season, and New Zealand struggling to defeat good sides away from home (see: week one of the NRL finals), it’s hard to see the Kiwis keeping their fairytale season alive here.

However, they’re a quality outfit with Shaun Johnson in charge, and will undoubtedly empty the tank at Suncorp in pursuit of their first Grand Final appearance in 12 years. The Warriors having their noses ahead at half time is not at all unrealistic, and would bring a healthy 7.00 (6/1) return if it were to be the case.

Why you can trust our NRL betting tips 

So, why should you trust some NRL predictions you see on the internet? Here’s why our NRL tips are the most reliable you’ll find: 

  • All of our NRL picks are made by seasoned experts, with decades of experience betting on sports
  • We track the latest team info, and give predictions based on the most up to date news
  • Our NRL tips are informed by both historical data, statistical analysis and understanding of past performance

Bottom line is, making NRL betting tips is what we do here at Pundit Feed. It’s our bread and butter, and we know the NRL like the back of our hands. But decide for yourself–track our NRL expert tips, and see for yourself how much money you would have made had you backed our picks and made a wager!

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About the author

Bren Gray

Bren is our resident Kiwi, and has been playing or watching sports down under in New Zealand for the better part of three decades. With 12+ years experience as a professional writer, Bren loves to dive deep into all things sport to bring the best betting analysis and breaking news here at Pundit Feed.