Predictions

Atletico Madrid vs Chelsea prediction: Odds & betting tips

Atletico Madrid will host Chelsea in this Round of 16 battle of the Champions League. The Spanish team flies high this season, but Chelsea may have something to say about Atletico’s intentions to progress further in the UCL.

Atletico Madrid will host Chelsea in this Round of 16 battle of the Champions League. The Spanish team flies high this season, but Chelsea may have something to say about Atletico’s intentions to progress further in the UCL.

Atletico vs Chelsea: Which are the best value betting tips you can get on the game?

The table below will give you a very clear idea of what we think are the best tips for the match.

Atletico Madrid vs Chelsea Selection and odds Bookmaker Bet here
Double Chance Atletico or Draw @ 2/5 bet365
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Number of Cards in match Over 4.5 @ 11/10 bet365
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Early Goal Goal before 35:00 NO @ 5/6 bet365
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The odds presented here are subject to change. One should check with the bookmaker before placing the bet 

Atletico Madrid vs Chelsea: Form check

Both sides have played good football lately. Let’s see some stats.

Have we been impressed by Atletico lately?

Atletico Madrid is yet to lose a UCL home match after maintaining an unbeaten streak for 13 straight home games. However, last week in La Liga, the team lost at home to Levante, but we can attribute this to the organization preparing for the match versus Chelsea.

Before this past weekend’s loss, Atletico had an unbeaten streak of 13 matches across all tournaments with their last failure coming off the hands of Real Madrid in mid-December 2020. There is little reasoning to doubt Diego Simeone’s squad in this leg.

Atletico Madrid vs Chelsea Betting Tips

How has Chelsea performed recently?

Ever since Thomas Tuchel took the helm at Chelsea in January, the team is yet to lose a match. In fact, the team has won 6 of their 8 games under the new manager and it doesn’t look like they will be slowing down any time soon. The problem is, they are chasing a Top 4 spot in the EPL very hard and now their Champions League obligations may prove to be too much. Something has to give but we will see.

Atletico Madrid vs Chelsea: Our top three free predictions on this UCL match.

  • Double Chance: Atletico or Draw @ 2/5
  • Number of Cards in the match: Over 4.5 @ 11/10
  • Early Goal: Goal before 35:00 NO @ 5/6

Double Chance: Atletico or Draw @ 2/5

Just because of Atletico’s form alone, we could see them winning this match outright, but we also have to respect Chelsea’s great form of late. This is why our top bet is for Atletico to NOT lose this game as they have shown they can do all year long.

After this past weekend’s loss to Levante, we expect the Spaniards to defend their home turf with everything they got. Chelsea will play in its first Champions League match after the coaching change we are having a tough time seeing them win on the road.

Cards over 4.5 @ 11/10

It’s not only that Atletico Madrid’s reputation is of a team that is rough around the edges but it’s also about the referee in this match. Felix Brych has shown 13 yellow cards and 2 red ones in his 3 UCL matches this season.

5 yellow cards is a very plausible number in a match such as this one and we like the odds.

Early Goal: Goal before 35:00 NO @ 5/6

We don’t think either team will come out swinging. The start of the match should see both teams exploring opportunities and learning about their opponents. Also, an early goal would go against the latest trends in the way these teams play.

Over their last 7 games, the earliest goal Chelsea saw was scored in the 31st minute. With Atletico, we’ve seen a goal been scored before the 28th minute twice in the last seven clashes. The 36th minute is indeed a little late in the 1st half but the value that we are getting is pretty good.

About the author
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Aanu Omorodion

22 year-old football analyst and content creator. Lover of the beautiful game.

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